Silver Bulletin

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.

Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.

What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for all 211 FIFA teams.

With a more tenacious defense, a new KAT, and a new coach, they've found an unprecedentedly high gear. But are they good enough to beat the Spurs?

Watch now (58 mins) | The Texas runoff was a demonstration of Trump’s power — and the lowest moment yet for the former Republican establishment. Plus, my video with the Central Air crew on the midterms, poker and more.

Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.

It won’t be easy for Democrats. But he endorsed the inferior candidate at the worst possible time.

The 2026 NBA draft is the deepest in years. Here's how I'd pick the lottery — if you made me GM of every team.

Who should be the #1 pick? Our new NBA draft model says teams still overvalue potential and undervalue production.

Newly updated for 2026. Here’s what I’ve learned after many long hours at the WSOP.

Nothing on the internet lasts forever. But Disney’s 10-year mismanagement of FiveThirtyEight is its own story.

A “democracy agenda” should be principled, create a stable equilibrium, and pass muster with voters.

Democrats are fighting uphill against Republican-leaning courts. But they can’t afford either despondence or complacency.

Way more detail than you asked for on the methods behind our new soccer model.

I ran the numbers on redistricting after the Supreme Court's decision on the Voting Rights Act. The Black representation trade-off is mostly a myth.

Perhaps having learned their lesson with Joe Biden, the party’s voters are starting to reject older, establishment-bound candidates.

Doomsday scenarios are unlikely, but the realistic ones deserve more attention. A Q&A with Votebeat's Nathaniel Rakich.

I wish I didn't have to state the obvious.

Democratic voters are pretty rational. For once, their leadership has been, too.