Zeke Hausfather

The latest models show a much greater change of a strong – or even super – El Nino developing later this year

Why I may have been a tad premature in my 2026 prediction.

our reliance on fossil fuels makes us less safe

it died in a footnote

The promise and pitfalls of using AI tools to boost my capabilities as a scientist

A new place to find daily updated climate data

Sometimes it just gets cold

When the politics of affordability meet the needs of climate mitigation

The biggest stories of 2025 and a few predictions for 2026

The best thing about predicting the near future is you don't need to wait long to be wrong

It’s not just wetter storms—it’s also the important shift from snow to rain

The latest generation of climate models shows too much long-term warming but better reproduces recent trends

Assume your turkey is a sphere of water ...

Will the AI future inadvertently recenter expertise?

They pump your water, toast your bread, and move your car: Understanding the 'embedded energy' that powers our modern lives.

The world still seems on track for below 3C this century, though large uncertainties remain

There is a lot of things I agree with in Bill Gates’ new memo on climate change, but I think it fundamentally sets up a false dichotomy.

Substituting short lived climate pollutants like methane for CO2 as carbon offsets risks breaking the math of net zero

Regional exceptions like the 1930s in the continental US notwithstanding

mistaking detection for emergence