Everything is breaking Democrats’ way. Is it enough to win the Senate?

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​Our midterms model finds that polls, fundamentals and history all point toward a strong Democratic year. The House is theirs to lose, but winning four Senate seats is still a tall order. ​Read More

Nate Silver is a statistician and journalist best known for founding FiveThirtyEight, where he popularized data-driven analysis of elections, politics, and public opinion. He later launched Silver Bulletin, continuing his influence on how numbers shape political forecasting and media conversation.