Beware big swings in midterm forecasts

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​As Labor Day approaches, we’re entering the traditional stretch run of the campaign. But history says the national picture probably won’t change much before Election Day. ​Read More

Nate Silver is a statistician and journalist best known for founding FiveThirtyEight, where he popularized data-driven analysis of elections, politics, and public opinion. He later launched Silver Bulletin, continuing his influence on how numbers shape political forecasting and media conversation.