Federal Reserve: Lessons from the Dot-Com Era

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    Economist Paul Krugman argues that the current surge in AI-related investment and stock prices bears a troubling resemblance to the late-1990s dot-com bubble, especially in how markets jerk in response to anticipated actions by Federal Reserve officials. He warns that the recent rallies — driven largely by hopes of interest-rate cuts — look more like “dead-cat bounces” than sustainable growth.

    Krugman cautions that, even in the dot-com era, Fed rate cuts failed to prevent the collapse of inflated tech valuations — so relying on the Fed to bail out an AI-driven bubble now may be misguided. He suggests that what looks like a tech-fueled boom may hide deeper economic instability, especially when broader trade, manufacturing, and macroeconomic headwinds are also at play.

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    Paul Krugman is a Nobel Prize–winning economist, bestselling author, and longtime columnist known for translating complex economic theory into sharp, accessible commentary on inequality, trade, and public policy. His work blends rigorous academic insight with pointed political critique, making him one of the most influential voices in modern economic debate.