Strength In Numbers Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. Evidence, not spin.
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The ICE shootings are a tipping point
by G. Elliott Morris on January 27, 2026Donald Trump's approval on immigration has collapsed 17 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024.
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New Abolish ICE polling and the end of the Trump “realignment”
by G. Elliott Morris on January 25, 2026Your weekly political data roundup for January 25, 2026.
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The consent of the governed has been withdrawn
by G. Elliott Morris on January 23, 2026One year into his second term, Trump has suffered the largest approval collapse of any modern president (except the one who resigned in disgrace). He is underwater on every major policy area.
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Trump’s terrible polls, one year in
by G. Elliott Morris on January 23, 2026New polling shows the president losing voters on his signature issues. What that looks like at the local level, and what it means for 2026
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A very detailed map of Trump's job approval
by G. Elliott Morris on January 22, 2026Explore our new interactive map of Trump's job approval, powered by 12,000 survey interviews conducted in 2025 and 2026
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New poll: Trump loses ground on immigration; Dems lead 2026 House vote by 8 points
by G. Elliott Morris on January 21, 2026The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats start 2026 with their biggest lead yet on the 2026 House vote, while Trump approval sinks on immigration, deportations, and public safety
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Americans say Trump has the wrong priorities
by G. Elliott Morris on January 18, 2026Your weekly political data roundup for January 18, 2026
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Backlash to Trump has been more severe in his second term
by G. Elliott Morris on January 16, 2026Gallup's latest data shows Republican party identification down 6 points in Trump's second term — three times the decline in 2017
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Trump has made ICE a 70-30 issue — for Democrats
by G. Elliott Morris on January 15, 2026By using brutal force in public, ICE has given Democrats a chance to change how voters think about immigration policy. Will they take it?
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All the poll questions readers suggested we ask in 2026
by G. Elliott Morris on January 14, 2026The final list from our community question-writing exercise in December
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How early is too early to look at midterm polls?
by G. Elliott Morris on January 13, 2026Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains ground between now and November
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Venezuela polling update: Republicans fall in line on comparatively unpopular action
by G. Elliott Morris on January 11, 2026Your weekly political data roundup for January 11, 2026.
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Support for abolishing ICE hits a new high
by G. Elliott Morris on January 9, 2026Americans have turned sharply against Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and say it too often resorts to violence
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Pardon my coup
by G. Elliott Morris on January 7, 2026Accurate political journalism requires a bias toward democracy
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Midterms are a backlash, not a referendum
by G. Elliott Morris on January 6, 2026The best predictor of historical midterm election outcomes is which party is in power, not its performance
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Americans do not want war with Venezuela
by G. Elliott Morris on January 4, 2026Military intervention in the country is even more unpopular than Trump’s tariffs and health care cuts
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What your news diet says about your politics
by G. Elliott Morris on January 2, 2026Breaking down Trump's approval and 2026 midterms vote by Americans' primary news source
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What voters in every state think about Trump and prices
by G. Elliott Morris on December 29, 2025Using MRP on our 2025 polling, Trump’s overall approval is underwater in 39 states— and his inflation numbers are negative in 49
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10 new charts that show how Americans feel about prices and health care
by G. Elliott Morris on December 21, 2025Plus: take the 2025 reader survey to steer coverage for the next year! Your weekly political data roundup for December 21, 2025
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Voters blame Trump for their economic woes
by G. Elliott Morris on December 19, 2025In a televised speech, Trump tried to turn around his affordability numbers by drawing attention to policies voters disapprove of
