Strength In Numbers Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
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No, higher turnout won’t fix the Republicans' midterms problem
by G. Elliott Morris on April 28, 2026The GOP is manufacturing its own base turnout fantasy to avoid acknowledging the real reason it's struggling in 2026: Voters don't like Trump's agenda!
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Taking the day off
by G. Elliott Morris on April 26, 2026Poll week wiped me out
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The incredible shrinking Trump coalition
by G. Elliott Morris on April 24, 2026An updated look at the president's approval rating by geography and demographics shows just how narrow his coalition has become.
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Voters rate the Democrats poorly — but are voting for them anyway
by G. Elliott Morris on April 23, 2026Elliott and David get together in person at the America Votes Summit for a special look at new polling on the midterms and the Democratic Party's favorability problem
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Why voters say the Democrats are "weak," in their own words
by G. Elliott Morris on April 23, 2026New April Strength In Numbers/Verasight polling finds both parties underwater on favorability, but Republicans are much worse off
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New poll: 55% support impeaching Trump
by G. Elliott Morris on April 22, 2026Support for impeachment rivals levels during Donald Trump's first presidency, when he was impeached twice, and for impeaching Richard Nixon after the Watergate scandal
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Trump approval falls to 35% as rating on handling prices hits a record -46
by G. Elliott Morris on April 21, 2026Our new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds the president's overall job approval at a new low, Democrats leading by 7 on the generic ballot, and a majority says the Iran war is not worth the cost
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Only half of Republicans are die-hard “MAGA”
by G. Elliott Morris on April 19, 2026Why MAGA is not a durable majority. Plus, consumer sentiment, and a study on the effects of raising the minimum wage in red states. Your weekly political data roundup for April 19, 2026.
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Here’s a model of consumer sentiment that doesn’t suck
by G. Elliott Morris on April 17, 2026On the question of why Americans are so glum, the answer is still (mostly) the prices, stupid. But you have to know where to look
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The electoral beatings will continue until morale improves
by G. Elliott Morris on April 16, 2026
A few early findings from our April monthly poll, and why "excess prices" explains consumer sentiment when traditional economic measures can't
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It's the prices, stupid
by G. Elliott Morris on April 14, 2026Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low because prices are at an all-time high. The UMich index isn't broken, popular government data just offer an incomplete picture of what people care about
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The mystery variable that explains stubbornly low consumer sentiment
by G. Elliott Morris on April 12, 2026Plus, more on moderation and AI “polls.” Your weekly political data roundup for April 12, 2026.
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Graphs about gas prices and presidential approval
by G. Elliott Morris on April 10, 2026History says gas prices have a small impact on presidential approval — but it's not equal for every president
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Trump is underwater in every competitive House and Senate seat
by G. Elliott Morris on April 9, 2026
Plus: A recap of the Wisconsin elections, and will Americans support Trump's ceasefire in Iran?
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Democrats just posted their biggest swings of the 2026 cycle in WI and GA
by G. Elliott Morris on April 8, 2026
Democrats did better in elections on Tuesday than they did on average in 2025 and 2026 so far
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New polling: Trump is underwater in 135 GOP House and Senate seats
by G. Elliott Morris on April 7, 2026New local polling estimates show Trump is unpopular even in deep red districts, as calls for war powers reform and impeachment swirl in DC
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Only 8% of "moderates" actually want moderation
by G. Elliott Morris on April 7, 2026Two new studies reveal very few voters want a genuinely centrist political party — and moderation's electoral payoff is smaller, riskier, and less reliable than its advocates suggest
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Deep dive episode: Voters say they want "somebody that's for us"
by G. Elliott Morris on April 6, 2026
What a focus group with disengaged voters in Michigan reveals about economic desperation, anti-system politics, why Trump won, and the road to 2026/28
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Why Democrats are suddenly winning back the left — and the "double-haters"
by G. Elliott Morris on April 5, 2026Plus, the share of Americans calling themselves Republicans just hit a decade low. Your weekly political data roundup for April 5, 2026.
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The six big events that have dragged down Donald Trump's approval rating
by G. Elliott Morris on April 3, 2026At -21.4, the president's net rating has sunk to Watergate and Katrina levels — and one issue is driving most of the decline
