Strength In Numbers Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
-
Democratic voters want the party to be more moderate — and more socialist?
by G. Elliott Morris on June 12, 2026The trouble with polling about ideological labels
-
Yes, Americans are polarized. But that doesn't prevent wave elections
by G. Elliott Morris on June 9, 2026A popular measure of intra-party loyalty in polls artificially inflates electoral stability and ignores the crucial role that turnout plays in close races
-
Reduced schedule for paternity leave
by G. Elliott Morris on June 5, 2026Article frequency will drop to 1x a week for 6-8 weeks, but our June and July polls will come out as normal!
-
How many Trump voters does James Talarico need in order to win the Texas U.S. Senate race?
by G. Elliott Morris on June 2, 2026The math isn't as hard as people think. Democrats need to flip about 1 in 15 Republicans — turnout and independents do the rest.
-
Why so much election analysis is basically useless
by G. Elliott Morris on May 29, 2026A race decided by a point and a half can be blamed on almost anything — and that severely limits what we can learn for the future
-
Americans blame Trump for the cost-of-living crisis. Here's what they want done about it.
by G. Elliott Morris on May 27, 2026A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds 58% of Americans say Trump has made the economy worse — and voters are blaming him, not Biden, for the high cost of living.
-
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
by G. Elliott Morris on May 27, 2026Democratic candidate James Talarico has very good shot against Ken Paxton in the Lone Star State
-
Poll: Trump’s approval rating hits another low on prices as Democrats hit +8 on generic ballot
by G. Elliott Morris on May 26, 2026Our new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Trump's job approval on prices falling to -47, and a record 39% of Americans naming prices as the single most important problem facing the country
-
The real reason Democrats lost in 2024
by G. Elliott Morris on May 22, 2026The DNC "autopsy" omits the biggest reason Democrats lost in 2024. In doing so, it fails to prepare the party for the future
-
Americans oppose spending $1 billion on White House ballroom 68% to 21%
by G. Elliott Morris on May 21, 2026A preview from our May Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll
-
Independents and 2024 non-voters have swung back left
by G. Elliott Morris on May 19, 2026The big story in the new NYT/Siena poll isn't Trump's 37% approval (although that's very bad) — it's a 24-point swing among persuadable voters
-
Democracy and the midterms after the VRA
by G. Elliott Morris on May 16, 2026
Two links for you this weekend
-
You can't gerrymander a bad approval rating
by G. Elliott Morris on May 15, 2026Trump's net approval is historically weak for this point in a presidency — and his approval on handling prices and the economy is even worse than Joe Biden's low
-
A reminder: Very few people support Donald Trump's presidency
by G. Elliott Morris on May 14, 2026Plus, polls show voters are increasingly worried about his mental and physical fitness for office
-
Deep Dive episode: Democracy 2.0, with Lee Drutman
by G. Elliott Morris on May 13, 2026
Tired of partisan gerrymandering and a two-party system that is unresponsive to the needs of everyday Americans? Have we got an idea for you!
-
This year’s U.S. House elections will be least competitive on record
by G. Elliott Morris on May 12, 2026In 1976, 101 U.S. House seats were structurally competitive. Under the new 2026 maps, that number could fall to 33 — and just 15 are true toss-ups
-
One year of Strength In Numbers!
by G. Elliott Morris on May 11, 2026Short reflections on the business so far and an update on what's to come this year
-
Democrats now have to win the House vote by 4 points due to Republican gerrymandering
by G. Elliott Morris on May 10, 2026A new analysis by Strength In Numbers reveals the impacts of mid-decade and post-VRA redistricting by Republicans, with the now-missing Democratic counter-gerrymander in Virginia
-
The simple statistical error Republican Supreme Court justices used to gut the VRA
by G. Elliott Morris on May 8, 2026The Court says vote dilution can be proven only after "controlling" racial polarization for partisan polarization. This is a nonsensical and impossible test
-
America's new redistricting doom loop
by G. Elliott Morris on May 7, 2026
Welcome to the new era of "super-mandering"
