Strength In Numbers Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion polls, and elections. From author, journalist, and pollster G. Elliott Morris.
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To defeat Republicans, Democrats may have to sit some races out
by G. Elliott Morris on July 28, 2026An exclusive poll shared first with Strength In Numbers shows Independent Seth Bodnar in Montana runs ahead of the Democrat in a hypothetical Senate horse-race
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What do voters in each congressional district think about Trump? Immigration? The midterms?
by G. Elliott Morris on July 27, 2026I've published a bunch of graphs of district-level opinion over at the Strength In Numbers Pro polling dashboard
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How Democrats can win over more midterm voters
by G. Elliott Morris on July 26, 2026YouGov finds most holdouts on the generic ballot are low-turnout voters and indecisive Democrats
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Poll: These Americans say they’d be disenfranchised by Trump’s election law
by G. Elliott Morris on July 24, 2026Few Americans have heard a lot about the provisions of the SAVE Act. Support declines the more someone hears about it
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Data Lab: Democrats' edge in midterms polling depends on how pollsters weight by party
by G. Elliott Morris on July 23, 2026What would our Strength In Numbers polling say if we weighted our samples by different targets for party identity?
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Likely voters lean more Democratic for November's midterms, a change from past cycles
by G. Elliott Morris on July 22, 2026In every wave of our poll this year, screening for likely voters has nudged the congressional generic ballot a point or two bluer
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Deep Dive episode: Ben Wikler has a plan to save democracy
by G. Elliott Morris on July 21, 2026Listen now | A conversation with the former chair of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin and author of the new book "This Is The Plan: How to End America's Meltdown and Save Democracy"
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Poll: 59% say gas price hikes have forced them to cut back spending; 51% blame Trump
by G. Elliott Morris on July 21, 2026Plus: Americans rate Trump’s mental fitness almost as bad as Biden’s during his term
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Non-voters lean Democratic again: Pew NPORS poll
by G. Elliott Morris on July 15, 2026The group has recently become prone to voting against incumbents
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Democrats lead by 26 points among “double haters” in the 2026 House midterms vote
by G. Elliott Morris on July 14, 2026One in five Americans rates both parties unfavorably. These voters lean Democratic and say Trump has hurt the economy
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What’s up with people who disapprove of Trump but won’t vote for Democrats?
by G. Elliott Morris on July 13, 2026The first post is up at the new Data Lab vertical
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Data Lab: What’s up with people who disapprove of Trump but won’t vote for Democrats?
by G. Elliott Morris on July 13, 2026Most of them are just Republicans. An update on cross-pressured voters in our polling
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Welcome to the Data Lab
by G. Elliott Morris on July 12, 2026Sign up for emails from this section at https://gelliottmorris.com/account
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Graham Platner was polling behind expectations anyway
by G. Elliott Morris on July 7, 2026Democrats now have an opportunity to nominate someone less troubled who polls better. Will they waste it
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Why Democratic Socialists are suddenly running everywhere — and winning
by G. Elliott Morris on July 7, 2026It’s not because of ideology
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Can Democrats outrun their party’s brand problem? I tested three proposed fixes
by G. Elliott Morris on June 30, 2026A new survey experiment finds Democrats outrun the party baseline by showing they’re independent of it — using issue positions, biography, or otherwise
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America's most (and least) popular politicians in 2026
by G. Elliott Morris on June 29, 2026Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, and Zohran Mamdani top the list, while Tucker Carlson and Chuck Schumer bring up the rear
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Poll: 53% of Americans see grounds to impeach Trump
by G. Elliott Morris on June 25, 2026Most name corruption and abuse of power as his top offenses — and one in five say the war in Iran is impeachment-worthy
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Poll: Only 18% think U.S. achieved its goals in Iran, as Trump's approval hovers at historic low
by G. Elliott Morris on June 24, 202659% support the deal to end the war with Iran, but only 18% think the U.S. achieved its goals in the conflict — and a majority says Trump never should have started the war in the first place
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Beware phantom poll swings (and how to spot them)
by G. Elliott Morris on June 23, 2026Democrats' lead on the House generic ballot "dropped" 1-2 points over the last month. It will likely go back up, but this is a good reminder that even polling averages can fake you out
