Neil’s Substack

Track how I'm forecasting every team’s chance to make — and win — the NBA Finals, all season long.

Power ratings and forecasts for every NHL team and player this season.

For nearly two decades, he never let the Steelers be bad — even as his teams increasingly struggled to be great when it mattered most.

Ratings, rankings and forecasts for every NFL team this season.

A chaotic opening weekend showed how little separates this crowded field of Super Bowl contenders.

The 12-team CFP is (mostly) what college football needed competitively — but its scattered timing has spoiled tradition, drained momentum and trapped the sport deeper in limbo.

A roundup of what I wrote, read, watched, etc. over the past week.

But unfortunately, only one can survive what is becoming an increasingly dangerous wild-card round for Super Bowl hopefuls.

With the wild-card round kicking off, Tyler and I make our picks in a (mostly) evenly-matched first set of NFL playoff games.

The 2025-26 NFL playoffs are set up to produce at least one first-time Super Bowl starter — and likely a first-time winner — hinting at a long-awaited changing of the guard.

As trade talks swirl, let's look at why Young’s offense-first profile has proven so hard to build around — and what would need to change for him to play a meaningful role on a title team.

A 10-game heater made Buffalo relevant again. But ending a 14-year playoff drought will depend on what happens from here.

Let’s forecast the 2025-26 NFL playoffs using a composite of my two prediction models.

A roundup of what I wrote, read, watched, etc. over the past week.

Measuring one of the NFL's weakest divisions — maybe ever — and why it's still guaranteed a home playoff game anyway.

After a historically brutal week, we regroup and pivot to a New Year's Hail Mary: a six-leg parlay in the regular season's chaotic final round of games.

I categorized every post I published in 2025 by type and sport to see what I actually spent the year writing about — then picked out the stories that mattered most to me.

Is it a short commute of a stadium-switch or a full-blown franchise move? Yes.

OKC still looks like a dynasty-in-waiting — but Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs have exposed a matchup problem that history says can’t be ignored in the playoffs.

A roundup of what I wrote, read, watched, etc. over the past week.