Silver Bulletin Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
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How popular is Donald Trump?
by Nate Silver on November 30, 2025
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
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How popular is Elon Musk?
by Nate Silver on November 30, 2025
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
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Are poker players liberal or conservative?
by Nate Silver on November 26, 2025
They became more Trump-curious in 2024. But mostly, they’re anti-establishment types who dislike politics until you threaten their livelihoods.
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ELWAY NFL team projections: Week 13
by Nate Silver on November 25, 2025
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
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QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
by Nate Silver on November 25, 2025
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
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Keep Houston weird
by Joseph George on November 21, 2025
The Houston Rockets are playing unconventional basketball, but their young core is blasting off.
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What if you love Silver Bulletin... but hate sports?
by Nate Silver on November 20, 2025
Or love sports but hate politics? Here's how to manage what you get in your inbox.
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Is Trump a lame duck?
by Nate Silver on November 18, 2025
So far, Trump’s approval ratings have had a high floor. But second terms are often turbulent, and Trump has the economy, age and Epstein to worry about.
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The NFL has entered the Scorigami Era
by Nate Silver on November 14, 2025
Superkickers, rule changes, dual-threat QBs and analytics are changing the sport — and producing weirder scores.
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Trump made a huge blunder on the shutdown. So why did Democrats cave anyway?
by Nate Silver on November 10, 2025
It's not entirely Chuck Schumer's fault, but the party needs new leadership.
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SBSQ #26: Do prediction markets make polls useless?
by Nate Silver on November 9, 2025
Plus the 2026 Senate map, Joe Burrow versus Joe Flacco, and why you should do creative work until you die.
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A 10/10 night for Democrats
by Nate Silver on November 5, 2025
Plus, my chat with Eli and Ross Barkan about last night's results — and what to expect from Mayor Mamdani.
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Andrew Cuomo’s last stand
by Nate Silver on November 4, 2025
Zohran won. Here's why Cuomo's campaign failed.
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Bring the big leagues to Mexico City
by Nate Silver on November 3, 2025
The rewards outweigh the risks for the NFL, NBA and MLB
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Is New Jersey the next swing state?
by Eli McKown-Dawson on November 1, 2025
Probably not. But a Republican win on Tuesday would make the state worth watching in 2028.
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Is the NYC mayoral race tightening?
by Nate Silver on October 30, 2025
Not unless you’re cherry-picking for Cuomo — although New York City has a history of late polling movement and Election Day surprises.
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Do political scandals still matter? Or is ticket-splitting dead?
by Eli McKown-Dawson on October 28, 2025
Jay Jones’s text message scandal will test the limits of both propositions in what should be a good year for Democrats in Virginia.
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The NBA gambling scandal, explained by an actual gambler
by Nate Silver on October 25, 2025
43 thoughts about the biggest betting scandal in years. Not only is it not surprising, but it looked suspicious in real time.
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Everybody loves “outsider” candidates. Until they find their Reddit posts.
by Nate Silver on October 23, 2025
It’s hard to know how voters will react to inexperienced candidates like Graham Platner. But that’s what makes them high-risk choices in must-win races.
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SBSQ #25: Why "No Kings" is a W for Democrats when the shutdown isn't
by Nate Silver on October 22, 2025
Plus, sports model plans, Obama's legacy, and why Vermont is so blue — in the first-ever live edition of SBSQ.






