Strength in Numbers

Note: Not a full-time job, but I will pay you — probably best for a smart undergrad or grad student or side hustle-r

From World War II to Trump's bombing of Iran, only a handful of historical conflicts produced clear jumps in presidential approval. The Iran strikes look like the latest case of a non-bump

It's our first chart-a-rama episode! Plus: why a small approval bump among likely voters won't save Republicans in the midterms

20% of young, non-white, and lower-income Trump voters now say they disapprove of how he's handling his job as president

Plus, is America entering "woke 2.0?" Your weekly political data roundup for March 8, 2026.

While just 24% say he has made it better. The U.S. lost 92,000 jobs in February

According to a simple average of new high-quality surveys, 38% of Americans approve and 49% disapprove of U.S. military action in Iran. When ignoring "don't know" respondents, 56% disapprove

And why a Talarico-Paxton matchup in Texas might just be a tossup

Democratic candidate James Talarico might be the best chance in recent history to flip a U.S. Senate seat Republicans have held for 65 years

Our new poll finds question wording can swing opinion by 20+ points on immigration, the budget, and transgender rights. That's a problem for people who use polls to tell politicians what voters want.

Support for the U.S. attack starts at 34% - 44% Your weekly political data roundup for March 1, 2026.

A poll conducted in the two days after Trump's State of the Union address reveals the public is still skeptical the president can deliver on affordability

Americans, including swing voters, see the Republican Party as 20 points more extreme than Democrats — and the Democrats as weak and ineffective. So why would the *Democrats* moderate?

This week's podcast: Primary polls are basically useless in Texas; Trump just posted his worst-ever numbers on immigration; and voters want Supreme Court term limits by a 50-point margin.

Our new poll finds majority support for structural reforms to the Supreme Court, Puerto Rico statehood, and limits on the pardon power

Trump's State of the Union address was largely about crime and immigration. Our poll shows voters wanted to hear less about immigration policy and more about how he's going to bring down prices

The new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading on the generic ballot by 10 points among registered voters, and Trump approval on immigration falling to -15

Why I think what you’re getting with this newsletter is different, and why it matters right now

The tariff ruling let President Trump blame judges and walk away from an unpopular policy. Instead, he attacked his own justices and announced new tariffs the people hate

Trump's approval on immigration varies by nearly 20 points depending on whether respondents are asked about border security, deportations, ICE, or immigration in general